Product Overview | TreeAge Pro Interactive Demos | Heart Valve Repair Start

Markov Chain Monte Carlo model

Use this form to change model values before carrying out a sensitivity analysis, Markov analysis, or Monte Carlo simulation. All inputs will be validated against a range specified in the model. Changes can be made to model values without choosing an analysis by clicking on the Validate button, rather than an analysis button.

This model's baseline values suggest cryopreserved homografts as the optimal strategy. To see a change in the optimal strategy, try using this form to first increase the baseline values for the probability of hemorrhage, thromboembolism, and/or valve thrombosis in the cryopreserved homograft strategy. Then, perform a sensitivity analysis on any of the other parameters in the model.

Click here to see a graphic of the DATA model.

Strategy-specific inputs
 
mechanical prostheses bioprostheses cryopreserved homografts pulmonary autographs
Odds ratio, endo. 6 mon
?
Prob. of endocarditis
 
 
Prob. structural dysfunct.
?
 
Prob. endocard. mortality
 
Prob. of hemorrhage
 
Prob. hemorrhage mortality
 
Prob. of thromboembolism
 
Prob. thromboemb. mortality
 
Prob. valve thrombosis
 
Prob. valve thromb. mortality
 
Tree defaults
 
Prob. distribution correlation
?
Odds ratio for reoperation mortality
 
Prob. homograft dysfunction, .975 quantile
 
Prob. homograft dysfunction, median
 
Prob. homograft endocarditis, .975 quantile
 
Prob. homograft endocarditis, median
 
Age at valve replac.